Other European Leagues · resolved market

SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4da1da50a11a4b65fed77991f2ef36019c92c4edd6a20a75b667f3ba602b36f

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $96,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $131,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,667 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	29c	30,834$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,834.45	71	28.2%20 W · 51 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	71c	10,054$7,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,138.16	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	70c	5,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	125	64%80 W · 45 L	+13.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	71c	3,823$2,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,714.6	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under	51c	3,478$1,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,769.69	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under	72c	3,300$2,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,375.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	37c	2,759$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018	125	46.4%58 W · 67 L	+9.3wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under	71c	2,000$1,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	1,631$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.79	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	36c	1,627$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,046.57	518	42.1%218 W · 300 L	-18.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under	71c	1,200$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.5	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	49c	1,136$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.11	79	38%30 W · 49 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under	71c	1,000$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under	72c	799.98$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.99	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	71c	675$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.25	2,068	48.1%995 W · 1,073 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over	69c	579.71$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.71	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	41c	561.47$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.14	2,001	36.5%730 W · 1,271 L	-25.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under	37c	500$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	78	33.3%26 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	70c	456.89$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.82	219	53.4%117 W · 102 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	71c	352$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.92	1,107	47.7%528 W · 579 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	71c	352$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.92	1,467	48%704 W · 763 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	72c	347$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.84	1,711	48.3%827 W · 884 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over	61c	299.97$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.99	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over	28c	240$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.6	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	73c	238.6$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.42	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	70c	200$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	268	53.7%144 W · 124 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over	65c	187.04$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.24	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	39c	179.49$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.49	182	48.4%88 W · 94 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	38c	171$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.55	297	54.5%162 W · 135 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	25c	169.31$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.83	715	33.8%242 W · 473 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	69c	150$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	272	46.3%126 W · 146 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+5.0wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over	76c	132.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.21	77	79.2%61 W · 16 L	+18.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under	77c	129.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Over	60c	116.34$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.01	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	71c	114.23$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.1	1,159	60.7%703 W · 456 L	+68.5wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	72c	106.3$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.21	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	62c	102.87$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.06	559	54.9%307 W · 252 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Under	73c	102.74$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	27c	102.59$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.89	546	50.4%275 W · 271 L	+15.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over	67c	101.09$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	93	41.9%39 W · 54 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under	73c	100$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.20per pick	57cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed Over	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under	71c	97$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.87	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+7.7wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under	73c	89.99$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.09	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	73c	89.88$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.61	370	49.5%183 W · 187 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	49c	85$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.45	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	71c	80$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.8	273	60.8%166 W · 107 L	+13.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Over	52c	79.57$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.19	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+215.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	72c	71.37$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.17	2,543	52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L	+18.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under	71c	69$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.99	205	50.7%104 W · 101 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under	52c	68.9$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.83	143	32.2%46 W · 97 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	66c	67.02$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.23	206	32%66 W · 140 L	-17.5wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under	74c	67.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.59	214	54.2%116 W · 98 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	71c	63$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.73	536	55.2%296 W · 240 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbebc…b5e6backed Under	32c	59.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over	50c	58.2$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.25	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over	33c	51.17$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.13	305	50.8%155 W · 150 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	20c	51.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	207	42.5%88 W · 119 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd934…ab75backed Under	73c	50.67$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.99	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.29per pick	58cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under	70c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Under	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	69c	42$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.77	1,282	50.2%644 W · 638 L	-25.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Under	73c	41.49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.29	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-4.5wins	-0.37per pick	70cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under	39c	38.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	61c	33.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.42	323	50.2%162 W · 161 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under	32c	33.03$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-8.4wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe5dd…9be0backed Under	61c	32.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Under	73c	28.11$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	25	60%15 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	54c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.39	408	50.7%207 W · 201 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over	51c	22.07$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	73	54.8%40 W · 33 L	+9.1wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	72c	22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.16	892	58.2%519 W · 373 L	+58.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under	73c	21.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.72	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	70cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Over	65c	20.39$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.14	77	63.6%49 W · 28 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc67d…6be7backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…22c0backed Under	72c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under	67c	17.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under	73c	16.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	72c	15.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Under	72c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	65cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5this page
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 0.5Over won
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5Over won
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5Over won
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5Over won
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 5.5Under won
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: SK Brann O/U 1.5Over won
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 1.5Over won
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 2.5Over won
Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)SK Brann won
Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)SK Brann won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event