TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Vålerenga Fotballof SK Brann, Vålerenga Fotball
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,166 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Vålerenga Fotball65c1,440$930 inWon+$509.232,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SK Brann36c539.67$194 inLost-$194.281,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed SK Brann33c387.79$127 inLost-$126.932,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed SK Brann35c380.34$132 inLost-$132.447,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed Vålerenga Fotball65c203.56$132 inWon+$71.252556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8c…191cbacked Vålerenga Fotball67c149.25$100 inWon+$49.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Vålerenga Fotball65c136$88 inWon+$47.65271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Vålerenga Fotball66c134.95$89 inWon+$46.0437049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed SK Brann35c120$42 inLost-$4213448.5%65 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab9…e630backed SK Brann35c88.57$31 inLost-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Vålerenga Fotball66c53$35 inWon+$18.022,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Vålerenga Fotball66c51.52$34 inWon+$17.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed SK Brann35c31.51$11 inLost-$119248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Vålerenga Fotball66c16.32$11 inWon+$5.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.