Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x217cbccff97f7b1cabbea8fa014197b1a2787b19bd2335ac9dc6fc6814893035

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Lynxof Team Lynx, South America Rejects
Resolved: Apr 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $95,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $112,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,253 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x124e…6802backed South America Rejects	32c	14,747$4,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,741.26	130	68.5%89 W · 41 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Lynx	76c	10,439$7,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,505.8	400	51.5%206 W · 194 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed South America Rejects	2c	6,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx	57c	5,795$3,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,515.93	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Lynx	47c	3,500$1,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,859.88	365	47.7%174 W · 191 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects	43c	3,354$1,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,438.41	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects	39c	3,010$1,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.03	510	49%250 W · 260 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed South America Rejects	60c	2,681$1,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,612.1	617	45.7%282 W · 335 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed South America Rejects	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked South America Rejects	53c	1,978$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047	96	50%48 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Lynx	61c	1,805$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.07	271	43.5%118 W · 153 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed South America Rejects	38c	1,800$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675	547	53.6%293 W · 254 L	+22.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked South America Rejects	66c	1,605$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,063.42	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed South America Rejects	67c	1,500$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.99	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed South America Rejects	72c	1,381$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	90	63.3%57 W · 33 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed South America Rejects	37c	1,300$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.35	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed Team Lynx	33c	1,237$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.36	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked South America Rejects	51c	1,200$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612	338	50.9%172 W · 166 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Lynx	51c	1,177$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.52	476	50.8%242 W · 234 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked South America Rejects	38c	1,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed South America Rejects	37c	1,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked Team Lynx	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	180	65.6%118 W · 62 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked South America Rejects	50c	994$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497	379	45.9%174 W · 205 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Lynx	65c	952.91$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.86	380	49.2%187 W · 193 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+168.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked South America Rejects	37c	937.73$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.96	507	49.7%252 W · 255 L	+15.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked Team Lynx	67c	931.63$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.75	90	44.4%40 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed South America Rejects	56c	892.86$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Lynx	34c	840.77$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.06	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Lynx	60c	836.75$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.75	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Team Lynx	58c	803$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.42	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Lynx	33c	720.99$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.51	292	40.4%118 W · 174 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Lynx	41c	699.26$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.22	552	51.6%285 W · 267 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Team Lynx	58c	518.73$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.73	554	57.8%320 W · 234 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Lynx	34c	500$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed South America Rejects	66c	499$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.46	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed South America Rejects	53c	474.63$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South America Rejects	37c	441.21$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.94	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c5…b9b6backed South America Rejects	28c	418.25$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed South America Rejects	58c	400$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx	59c	340$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.5	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed South America Rejects	57c	340$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.75	341	54.5%186 W · 155 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx	57c	319.05$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.95	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Lynx	32c	316.28$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.28	174	43.7%76 W · 98 L	-11.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x810b…0848backed Team Lynx	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	131	44.3%58 W · 73 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked South America Rejects	70c	284.93$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	367	61%224 W · 143 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Team Lynx	38c	250$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	602	51.2%308 W · 294 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects	48c	235.31$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.62	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Lynx	37c	230$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.9	189	52.9%100 W · 89 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8832…1fc4backed Team Lynx	31c	225.81$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.81	118	44.9%53 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed South America Rejects	69c	225.81$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.81	641	49.9%320 W · 321 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf981…44b7backed South America Rejects	47c	222$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.09	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Team Lynx	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.18	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Team Lynx	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x709c…ce30backed Team Lynx	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ef…840bbacked Team Lynx	63c	197.26$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.27	90	58.9%53 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Team Lynx	51c	195.09$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.09	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Team Lynx	36c	194.44$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.44	577	35%202 W · 375 L	-14.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6a…189bbacked South America Rejects	73c	184.93$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Team Lynx	41c	179.95$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.95	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked South America Rejects	31c	142.31$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.51	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Team Lynx	36c	139.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.28	437	38.4%168 W · 269 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed South America Rejects	67c	134$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.65	227	52.9%120 W · 107 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed South America Rejects	45c	133.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	252	48.8%123 W · 129 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Lynx	31c	129.03$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.03	582	50.5%294 W · 288 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked South America Rejects	64c	124.16$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.46	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked South America Rejects	43c	120$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	153	42.5%65 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed South America Rejects	71c	117.28$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.27	223	63.2%141 W · 82 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed South America Rejects	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	390	42.1%164 W · 226 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked South America Rejects	41c	110.09$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.84	760	48.6%369 W · 391 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked South America Rejects	56c	102.6$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.8	668	48.5%324 W · 344 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked South America Rejects	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Lynx	40c	96.36$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.36	412	44.7%184 W · 228 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked South America Rejects	45c	90$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	178	53.4%95 W · 83 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed South America Rejects	48c	88.02$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	515	50.9%262 W · 253 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects	14c	72.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked South America Rejects	27c	72.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+6.1wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed South America Rejects	33c	70$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	793	43.6%346 W · 447 L	+38.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x910d…5896backed South America Rejects	77c	63.29$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Team Lynx	29c	62.76$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.56	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed South America Rejects	38c	61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.19	108	52.8%57 W · 51 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed South America Rejects	35c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	726	37.5%272 W · 454 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed South America Rejects	67c	60$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	99	56.6%56 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed South America Rejects	59c	59.32$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	228	68%155 W · 73 L	+15.4wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed South America Rejects	40c	56.86$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed85…c85abacked South America Rejects	59c	56.45$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.06	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf883…b8b4backed South America Rejects	54c	56.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	187	64.7%121 W · 66 L	+17.3wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+15%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed South America Rejects	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	253	39.1%99 W · 154 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked South America Rejects	55c	55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.25	280	50%140 W · 140 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Team Lynx	31c	53.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	101	56.4%57 W · 44 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects	68c	52.45$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.44	568	52.5%298 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked South America Rejects	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	546	48.5%265 W · 281 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Lynx	59c	51.27$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.27	395	50.1%198 W · 197 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf3bf…147fbacked Team Lynx	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Team Lynx	55c	49.99$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.58	316	59.8%189 W · 127 L	+18.0wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Team Lynx	66c	49.52$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.02	395	59%233 W · 162 L	+18.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Team Lynx	35c	48.53$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.73	194	49%95 W · 99 L	+11.8wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41c5…4485backed Team Lynx	29c	48.26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.26	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Team Lynx	64c	46.88$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.88	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Team Lynx	37c	43.24$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.24	169	39.6%67 W · 102 L	-15.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x795d…b161backed South America Rejects	48c	40.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsSouth America Rejects won
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Lynx won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event