Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37306bb5d1ab2787c9898feccf71fd2205ff252f62c8b060179f880d49aaa360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Team Lynx, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Lynx | 8c | 10,101$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.66 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed South America Rejects | 70c | 3,259$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.87 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Lynx | 31c | 2,497$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed Team Lynx | 11c | 2,273$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.78 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Lynx | 16c | 1,849$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Lynx | 32c | 1,555$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.6 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed South America Rejects | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.87 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked South America Rejects | 69c | 1,487$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.07 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Lynx | 31c | 1,297$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.66 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Lynx | 30c | 1,204$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.48 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked South America Rejects | 68c | 918.81$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx | 26c | 818.33$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.77 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Lynx | 29c | 599.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked South America Rejects | 68c | 597.19$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.65 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…1fc4backed Team Lynx | 36c | 473.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Team Lynx | 25c | 400.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Lynx | 6c | 399.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed South America Rejects | 69c | 363.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Lynx | 31c | 338.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed South America Rejects | 73c | 330.24$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed South America Rejects | 71c | 283.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 270.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked South America Rejects | 70c | 262$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Lynx | 30c | 259.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked South America Rejects | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed South America Rejects | 78c | 250$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Lynx | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Lynx | 31c | 222.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed South America Rejects | 71c | 219.64$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Lynx | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dd…e100backed Team Lynx | 12c | 195.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked South America Rejects | 80c | 192$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked South America Rejects | 71c | 154$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked South America Rejects | 68c | 147.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed South America Rejects | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Lynx | 30c | 135.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Team Lynx | 35c | 132.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Team Lynx | 31c | 100.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…3b2ebacked Team Lynx | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Lynx | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked South America Rejects | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Team Lynx | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…1501backed Team Lynx | 11c | 92.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Lynx | 19c | 77.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Team Lynx | 26c | 75.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 20c | 63.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b4…88c0backed Team Lynx | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed Team Lynx | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked South America Rejects | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects | 76c | 50.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…783fbacked Team Lynx | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f9…1194backed Team Lynx | 30c | 49.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 29c | 46.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked South America Rejects | 71c | 42.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed South America Rejects | 71c | 35.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…5e87backed Team Lynx | 32c | 33.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed South America Rejects | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed South America Rejects | 72c | 26.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed South America Rejects | 66c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Lynx won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.