Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c309aa85ac5878c03507a9478062b694e0cf393783e43ec97f240251ff1f03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Team Lynx, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Lynx | 52c | 9,575$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed South America Rejects | 72c | 7,225$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.58 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Lynx | 31c | 4,315$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.58 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South America Rejects | 49c | 4,236$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.77 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed South America Rejects | 72c | 3,925$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.72 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Lynx | 27c | 3,404$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.81 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Lynx | 33c | 3,248$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.92 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx | 19c | 2,923$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.94 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Lynx | 29c | 2,622$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.81 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Team Lynx | 9c | 2,372$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 31c | 2,202$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.63 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed South America Rejects | 71c | 2,106$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.35 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked South America Rejects | 71c | 2,083$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.18 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Lynx | 47c | 2,075$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.1 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed South America Rejects | 78c | 2,000$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.49 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Team Lynx | 36c | 1,967$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Lynx | 26c | 1,956$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.81 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Lynx | 28c | 1,947$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects | 74c | 1,937$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.59 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed South America Rejects | 53c | 1,894$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.23 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed South America Rejects | 54c | 1,856$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.59 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Lynx | 33c | 1,819$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.75 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Lynx | 26c | 1,671$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked South America Rejects | 51c | 1,590$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.88 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 1,511$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.38 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…e877backed South America Rejects | 70c | 1,400$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Team Lynx | 17c | 1,309$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked South America Rejects | 78c | 1,228$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.57 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed Team Lynx | 20c | 1,151$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.19 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Lynx | 19c | 1,107$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.33 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Lynx | 29c | 1,065$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.15 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects | 71c | 1,056$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.29 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 26c | 1,036$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.41 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked South America Rejects | 72c | 1,014$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.81 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Team Lynx | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Lynx | 20c | 947.52$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed South America Rejects | 79c | 876.81$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed South America Rejects | 52c | 871.17$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.17 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed South America Rejects | 73c | 863.21$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…4a09backed South America Rejects | 71c | 861.63$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…1fc4backed Team Lynx | 28c | 793.68$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Lynx | 28c | 786.48$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed South America Rejects | 52c | 752.44$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.44 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Lynx | 21c | 752.41$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Team Lynx | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaca…019cbacked Team Lynx | 13c | 747.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed South America Rejects | 49c | 742.76$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.81 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed South America Rejects | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 687.92$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Lynx | 36c | 685.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…de82backed South America Rejects | 79c | 652.91$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked South America Rejects | 54c | 647$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Lynx | 32c | 634.27$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.94 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked South America Rejects | 70c | 567.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…dca2backed South America Rejects | 72c | 557.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed South America Rejects | 75c | 536.38$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked South America Rejects | 55c | 510.14$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.14 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Lynx | 28c | 501.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked South America Rejects | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed South America Rejects | 80c | 494$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed Team Lynx | 20c | 485.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Lynx | 30c | 464.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed South America Rejects | 68c | 444.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.42 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed South America Rejects | 77c | 439.6$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed South America Rejects | 70c | 430$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Team Lynx | 21c | 415.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Lynx | 48c | 406.11$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…22eabacked Team Lynx | 18c | 405.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Lynx | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked South America Rejects | 72c | 392.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked South America Rejects | 51c | 390.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.56 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14aa…9c88backed Team Lynx | 36c | 390$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Team Lynx | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…587dbacked South America Rejects | 53c | 384.21$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Team Lynx | 19c | 359.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Team Lynx | 38c | 353.74$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Lynx | 6c | 349.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed South America Rejects | 79c | 347.85$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Team Lynx | 18c | 342.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Lynx | 22c | 340$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed South America Rejects | 80c | 329.75$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed South America Rejects | 64c | 309.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed South America Rejects | 80c | 307.82$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed South America Rejects | 72c | 302.78$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd98…6c49backed South America Rejects | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Team Lynx | 18c | 295.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Team Lynx | 39c | 291.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked South America Rejects | 72c | 277.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed South America Rejects | 74c | 271.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Lynx | 38c | 265.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked South America Rejects | 76c | 252.08$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Team Lynx | 20c | 252.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…0efebacked South America Rejects | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked South America Rejects | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed South America Rejects | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked South America Rejects | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Lynx | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked South America Rejects | 80c | 243.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…e053backed Team Lynx | 23c | 243.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Lynx | 30c | 241.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Lynx won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.