TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Over52c9,680$5,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,617.938155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under54c5,860$3,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.0772335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c5,492$3,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.241,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c5,107$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.741,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over27c3,382$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.7846741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1704334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over62c2,323$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.81520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c2,040$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.8337649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Under80c1,881$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over31c1,800$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.973040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over45c1,725$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.793046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over25c1,039$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.1232843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under55c1,019$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.326048.3%29 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over56c999.96$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.982441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over61c912.87$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.022254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Under63c832.73$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.421040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.452846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under46c622.5$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.827345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over77c521.05$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over37c510$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.287236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42fc…a43cbacked Under78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390812.5%1 W · 7 L-4.5wins-0.56per pick68cpaid-84.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x572e…6382backed Under73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under61c493.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over35c414$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.024330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under54c400$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2141855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over39c391.15$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.636142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over59c378.33$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.35364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under9c365.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.95530.9%17 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c346.43$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4338253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c300.01$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1923031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48fb…ced4backed Under12c279.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+320.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834c…593abacked Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x395c…ad6fbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under54c248.86$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1414645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over66c247.69$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.484077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under51c243.91$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6110051%51 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under48c225$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.098845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefd3…bed8backed Over60c203.97$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Under48c202.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+99.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c196.27$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5142438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c195.37$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5788631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under76c180$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.81050%5 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over51c157.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6127450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Over63c156.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.752254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x961c…9d72backed Under57c132.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.341546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under64c131.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1230856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over20c124.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+87.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under66c111.23$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3524252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under48c110.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under61c103.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639549.5%47 W · 48 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over39c100.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8752046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5938142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Under48c99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under48c93.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under38c92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.222339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+98.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under50c90.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under48c89.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Over60c88.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.47850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under67c87.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.691855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over58c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54158.5%24 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over40c72.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.52832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under60c72.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.529949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under63c68.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.426357.1%36 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under53c66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8116651.2%85 W · 81 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under62c65.68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.962147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over58c64.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.91922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under40c61.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.416743.7%73 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over59c59.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.414847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under34c51.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.651963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812144.6%54 W · 67 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.55538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over41c49.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.137842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over38c46.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8391537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.484465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Under59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c2…36ccbacked Under59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over39c40.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6429746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under54c36.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.837564%48 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under42c34.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.754332.6%14 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x847e…cc57backed Under43c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.762458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over58c27.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.286953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Under76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Under58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under65c21.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.012171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf809…2ef1backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under62c19.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.063956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over60c17.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…a070backed Under65c16.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.881172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbb…bec7backed Under79c14.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.26825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-68.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.