TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Larne FC O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,802 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over17c527.59$92 inLost-$91.631,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Over41c238.78$99 inLost-$99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under58c133.02$77 inWon+$55.873259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Over42c110.14$46 inLost-$46.263154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under73c100$73 inWon+$272564%16 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under62c68.99$43 inWon+$26.2214942.3%63 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under62c64.82$40 inWon+$24.4530656.9%174 W · 132 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c55.44$32 inWon+$23.2860748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under58c54.7$32 inWon+$22.9713927.3%38 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over26c46.81$12 inLost-$11.991,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over30c40.3$12 inLost-$12.093438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over37c27.59$10 inLost-$10.212055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under60c24.1$14 inWon+$9.6622552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under59c18.58$11 inWon+$7.621776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.