TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $805 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over35c200$70 inLost-$702020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-57.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under65c195$127 inWon+$68.2560136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over24c116.48$28 inLost-$28.2217443.7%76 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over40c88.33$35 inLost-$35.3363346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c78.4$45 inWon+$33.41,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under59c70$42 inWon+$28.53246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c44.7$25 inWon+$20.011,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over45c44.7$20 inLost-$20.0114645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over44c41.82$18 inLost-$18.43542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over45c38.4$17 inLost-$17.284353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over47c38$18 inLost-$17.8691537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over41c36.59$15 inLost-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under54c36.06$19 inWon+$16.5816743.7%73 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Under60c35$21 inWon+$14742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over43c28$12 inLost-$12.1438253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.