TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over51c4,661$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.582437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c3,949$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.6145042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c3,226$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.621,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over64c2,988$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.246033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over55c2,488$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.164355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c2,419$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.781,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c2,083$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.137753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74031047.4%147 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over64c1,331$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.4570435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over47c1,308$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.756168.9%42 W · 19 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+114.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under53c978.46$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.142647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under36c970.11$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.679946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1c…90d2backed Under52c966.36$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c926.82$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.3236248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.259947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over53c479.41$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over53c478.19$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.884158.5%24 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Over52c411.54$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over56c403.05$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.434330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over66c360.25$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6488137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over62c346.59$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0939443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under33c331.48$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.23369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under48c329$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.921540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under36c328.62$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.334642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over62c289.78$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1241553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over68c288.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe474…0200backed Over63c284.13$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under43c284$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4159136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under36c266.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8352046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over54c260$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.61471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.32per pick40cpaid+60.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under43c235.63$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.594847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over73c232.22$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.71154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under45c207$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under28c204.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4816144.7%72 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over65c202$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.714934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x395c…ad6fbacked Over64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over57c199.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.999728.9%28 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over64c199.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c198.36$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.887531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under13c185.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9514736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under36c174.42$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0536742.8%157 W · 210 L-22.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c161.01$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6720832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.258650%43 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under38c152.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.117345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under44c143.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.036752.2%35 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Over64c142.19$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.192254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under44c115.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over75c112.5$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.793764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under51c103.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3621354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under44c97.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under38c97.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379549.5%47 W · 48 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under24c94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5641238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over76c87.91$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.115530.9%17 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over65c84.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.83043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under39c84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7661447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under46c83.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1823352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under42c78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5116350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over55c77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.396160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9210963.3%69 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.923855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over61c69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9114742.9%63 W · 84 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c68.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0531342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over51c67.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3224245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over53c58.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.491855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over52c58.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.981250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over51c57.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.268144.4%36 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.695135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Under47c57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.792334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Under45c56.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.531450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.65651.8%29 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under46c56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.762642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b4…470dbacked Under27c55.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5621043.8%92 W · 118 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Over71c54.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.94850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under38c51.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.429858.4%174 W · 124 L+17.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b3…384fbacked Under39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+90.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fed…e9cabacked Under38c51.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under50c51.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4230856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked Under35c50.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over62c48.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.383246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb4…45d4backed Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under43c46.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under40c45.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c45.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8432944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under37c41.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3715442.9%66 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over55c38.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under27c37.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under36c34.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4629445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under36c33.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.964944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under46c32.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over63c31.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.741353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.