TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TYLOOof EYEBALLERS, TYLOO
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked TYLOO68c12,500$8,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,958.7136453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed EYEBALLERS31c11,252$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,501.2833343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked EYEBALLERS1c2,770$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3140137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked EYEBALLERS32c2,679$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.5952834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked EYEBALLERS3c2,600$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.419335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked EYEBALLERS34c2,065$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.1975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed TYLOO69c2,009$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.922360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TYLOO68c2,005$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.14,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TYLOO69c2,000$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6253,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed EYEBALLERS1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked EYEBALLERS1c1,959$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.741102.7%3 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked EYEBALLERS9c1,894$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.253,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked EYEBALLERS33c1,809$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.631,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed EYEBALLERS30c1,430$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.151,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked TYLOO69c1,385$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.682777.8%21 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed EYEBALLERS37c1,353$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.074240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked EYEBALLERS41c1,225$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TYLOO66c920.15$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.952,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked EYEBALLERS6c766.07$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3221519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked EYEBALLERS23c752.51$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.052,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked EYEBALLERS19c750$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.52,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed TYLOO69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6418943.9%83 W · 106 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked EYEBALLERS19c685.85$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.663930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked EYEBALLERS10c672.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.813,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked EYEBALLERS39c617.12$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.681,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf54b…91f7backed TYLOO62c532.13$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.516538.8%64 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed EYEBALLERS40c515$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2061,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed TYLOO60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked TYLOO76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed TYLOO59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked TYLOO68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked TYLOO59c499.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9939548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed EYEBALLERS9c445.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.22,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EYEBALLERS31c439.41$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.612,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked EYEBALLERS4c397.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.954546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed EYEBALLERS37c394.57$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.922,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed EYEBALLERS5c380.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185722.8%13 W · 44 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked TYLOO63c370$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.14959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed EYEBALLERS41c365.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.011,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed EYEBALLERS20c345.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3996543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed TYLOO67c340.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6367372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5a9d…5521backed TYLOO61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.873470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed TYLOO59c323.27$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0110452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked EYEBALLERS33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed EYEBALLERS31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9327831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked EYEBALLERS38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11440950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed EYEBALLERS38c299.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9932844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked TYLOO69c299.81$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7863038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed TYLOO67c298.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0424155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed EYEBALLERS37c290.13$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3553444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae9b…50a8backed TYLOO69c290.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.072965.5%19 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked EYEBALLERS4c278.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.961,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked TYLOO61c262.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.314544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked TYLOO59c255.35$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.698556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabc8…500cbacked TYLOO60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked TYLOO59c249.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.491,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked EYEBALLERS7c249.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520041.5%83 W · 117 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked EYEBALLERS24c242.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.761,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked EYEBALLERS41c200.4$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1637859.5%225 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed TYLOO58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.552150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked TYLOO63c195.71$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.713663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed EYEBALLERS41c183.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.434452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked EYEBALLERS15c183.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.174,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked EYEBALLERS39c176.43$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.997749.4%38 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed TYLOO69c170.16$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.261,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed EYEBALLERS41c168.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0161034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed EYEBALLERS41c167.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1635344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2654…668dbacked TYLOO62c155.7$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked EYEBALLERS26c155$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.32,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc700…31a1backed EYEBALLERS16c149.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.97140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed EYEBALLERS13c143.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.932,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked TYLOO69c142.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.036251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed TYLOO62c135.48$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.489534.7%33 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TYLOO78c130.09$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked TYLOO62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0328935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed EYEBALLERS9c123.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119229.3%27 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f1f…f2f8backed TYLOO76c120$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.88163%51 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked TYLOO71c118.11$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.532,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed TYLOO71c110.63$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9575438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked EYEBALLERS24c110$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked EYEBALLERS24c109.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe7…121bbacked EYEBALLERS38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3815655.1%86 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked EYEBALLERS13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked EYEBALLERS38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3841250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0289…cb50backed TYLOO63c99.05$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.73647.2%17 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed EYEBALLERS22c92.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3277146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked EYEBALLERS33c88.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1001…0cf1backed TYLOO68c88.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.092846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…041bbacked EYEBALLERS24c87.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110451%53 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed EYEBALLERS30c84.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.375,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked EYEBALLERS39c80.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.210146.5%47 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed TYLOO60c78.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4524054.6%131 W · 109 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed TYLOO76c76.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3231372.8%228 W · 85 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked EYEBALLERS32c75.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.232,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked EYEBALLERS28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2123653.4%126 W · 110 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed EYEBALLERS37c72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.643959%23 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked EYEBALLERS34c69.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.612,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed EYEBALLERS38c68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8410736.4%39 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked TYLOO71c66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0636174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked TYLOO62c64.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6949149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.