CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601838fb5330c277329773a75335fdf2545a240e2f02dcae4f84dacff9f0792b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 28c | 2,185$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.17 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 67c | 1,734$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.8 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 55c | 1,406$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.69 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Over | 45c | 1,295$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 63c | 819$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.93 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 52c | 753.18$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.78 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 22c | 708.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 72c | 438.3$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 236$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 61c | 226$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 67c | 212.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 50c | 206$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Over | 36c | 124$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 114.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed Over | 46c | 108.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 52c | 102.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 27c | 95.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 32c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 22c | 79.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 50c | 59.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 30c | 47.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 42c | 43.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked Under | 50c | 29.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Under | 61c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…e7bfbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)TYLOO won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)TYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.