Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc13b2a7d5d0e1771f763978016005c44058efcd3f0d60fffc9bd4d9b5e2daa53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed No | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 8cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed No | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +304.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,043$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed No | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08f…d167backed No | 56c | 698.25$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 39c | 299.13$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 43c | 282.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…1e15backed Yes | 47c | 250.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 45c | 224.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 51c | 216.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 46c | 211.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 48c | 199.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 143.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 139.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 126.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 45c | 97.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed No | 53c | 93.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 55c | 93.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 55c | 90.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 44c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…a4d7backed No | 56c | 53.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 46c | 51.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…041bbacked No | 56c | 46.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…afcbbacked No | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 61c | 32.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…1e6fbacked No | 52c | 30.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed No | 61c | 25.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 55c | 25.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 51c | 23.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked No | 52c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 45c | 22.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 50c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Dominican Republic (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-2.5)Dominican Republic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.