Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc6d55b5243ad6144051d11e1631617cf030d8baacc27b7f04db0c92e1d82437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 31c | 6,450$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.52 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 4,868$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 10c | 2,220$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.36 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 77c | 1,298$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 8c | 848.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.4 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 4c | 528.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.18 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 59c | 521.43$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.89 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 32c | 375.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.98 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 350.82$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.91 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab0…96c3backed Under | 44c | 276.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 24c | 243.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 9c | 220$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 200.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 17c | 146.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Under | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…0b5ebacked Over | 30c | 143$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 31c | 95.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 39c | 85.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 55c | 58.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 51c | 54.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 57c | 52.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Under | 71c | 47.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 26c | 39.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Under | 78c | 34.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 58c | 24.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 5.5this page
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Dominican Republic (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-2.5)Dominican Republic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.