Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Panama (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76e680e20adab431a66bf839153c321746b1e474328f4f21f3e3a2f863ff3d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panamaof Panama, Dominican Republic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Panama | 52c | 4,418$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.97 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Dominican Republic | 46c | 3,077$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.4 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Panama | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Dominican Republic | 46c | 2,651$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Dominican Republic | 53c | 1,829$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.94 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Panama | 72c | 1,008$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.56 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Dominican Republic | 44c | 948.13$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Dominican Republic | 51c | 649.75$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.29 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Dominican Republic | 59c | 549.09$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.77 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Panama | 54c | 474$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Dominican Republic | 48c | 443$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Panama | 53c | 412.38$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.76 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dominican Republic | 47c | 335.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panama | 67c | 251.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…1e15backed Dominican Republic | 47c | 251.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Panama | 50c | 249.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Dominican Republic | 41c | 242.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Panama | 54c | 236.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Dominican Republic | 14c | 232.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Dominican Republic | 48c | 201.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Panama | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Panama | 51c | 195.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dominican Republic | 46c | 175.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Panama | 52c | 161.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Panama | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Dominican Republic | 45c | 149.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Dominican Republic | 44c | 126.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Panama | 55c | 125.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…5079backed Panama | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Panama | 53c | 107.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Panama | 76c | 106.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Panama | 56c | 101.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Panama | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Panama | 52c | 96.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Panama | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Panama | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Panama | 67c | 86.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Panama | 40c | 82.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Panama | 53c | 76.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Panama | 53c | 74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Panama | 54c | 71.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Dominican Republic | 46c | 70.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Dominican Republic | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Panama | 52c | 67.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Panama | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Panama | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Dominican Republic | 46c | 54.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…374bbacked Panama | 55c | 53.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Panama | 55c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Panama | 54c | 49.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Panama | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Panama | 43c | 43.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Dominican Republic | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dominican Republic | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Panama | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Dominican Republic | 47c | 40.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Dominican Republic | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Panama | 56c | 38.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Panama | 28c | 37.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Panama | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Dominican Republic | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Dominican Republic | 34c | 37.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Panama | 52c | 34.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Dominican Republic | 34c | 32.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Panama | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panama | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Panama | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Panama | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Panama | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Panama | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Dominican Republic | 46c | 27.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Panama | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Panama | 53c | 23.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Dominican Republic | 47c | 22.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Panama | 51c | 22.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)this page
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Dominican Republic (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-2.5)Dominican Republic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.