Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Panama (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20ab4ce03631d83991d7951807fc8bd21304bc51248d90aacb7890b96ee7a0d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dominican Republicof Panama, Dominican Republic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2bc5…1e15backed Panama | 32c | 1,178$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panama | 25c | 1,063$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Panama | 33c | 972.54$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Dominican Republic | 77c | 843.65$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Panama | 31c | 824.04$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.67 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Dominican Republic | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dominican Republic | 68c | 516.31$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.22 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Panama | 33c | 404.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dominican Republic | 67c | 374.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Dominican Republic | 68c | 298$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Dominican Republic | 69c | 270.94$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Panama | 32c | 239.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dominican Republic | 58c | 216.48$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Panama | 45c | 216.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Panama | 34c | 194.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Dominican Republic | 69c | 183.51$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dominican Republic | 49c | 180.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Dominican Republic | 67c | 149.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Dominican Republic | 68c | 120.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Panama | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Panama | 33c | 100.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dominican Republic | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Panama | 32c | 91.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Panama | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Panama | 34c | 80.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Dominican Republic | 72c | 74.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Dominican Republic | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Dominican Republic | 67c | 67.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Dominican Republic | 74c | 64.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked Dominican Republic | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Panama | 26c | 57.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dominican Republic | 68c | 49.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Panama | 31c | 47.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed Dominican Republic | 67c | 42.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Panama | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Panama | 48c | 31.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Dominican Republic | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…0d91backed Dominican Republic | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panama (-2.5)this page
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Dominican Republic (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Panama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.