TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,924 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under16c2,348$379 inLost-$379.054,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over77c1,302$1,000 inWon+$302.130465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c1,131$250 inLost-$249.64,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Under18c666.67$120 inLost-$12014738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under19c500.27$93 inLost-$93.457828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Under4c489.92$19 inLost-$18.8547.4%4 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Under18c416.67$75 inLost-$759815.3%15 W · 83 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under18c366.67$66 inLost-$665232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under28c356.99$100 inLost-$99.962236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66f7…c691backed Over77c293.32$225 inWon+$68.388773.6%64 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under12c250$30 inLost-$3035150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under10c250$25 inLost-$2551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under17c249.98$43 inLost-$4331553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under19c241.33$46 inLost-$45.8523732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over72c156.9$113 inWon+$43.9351250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over74c153.21$113 inWon+$40.110157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon+$35.149462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under11c126.98$13 inLost-$13.382,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under24c78.14$19 inLost-$18.5922634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…a070backed Over73c70$51 inWon+$18.95558.2%32 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under17c61.22$10 inLost-$10.411,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over72c61$44 inWon+$17.0825865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over78c32.05$25 inWon+$7.0516040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over78c22.73$18 inWon+$53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over72c20.88$15 inWon+$5.8535658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.