Fifa International · resolved market
Luxembourg vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3cc8f4143eebff7c30511044f5dc0e947e8f00fed287ca9021a341f0abe82df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa902…d159backed Yes | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 1,025$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…514cbacked No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 52c | 718.31$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.79 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 615.82$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 32c | 532.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 345.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 301.3$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed No | 71c | 167.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed No | 55c | 154.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 115.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 72.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 46c | 59.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed No | 80c | 56.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 165 | 56.4%93 W · 72 L | -17.5wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 34c | 55.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 53.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed No | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 75c | 40.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf4…53aebacked Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…4573backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…041bbacked No | 53c | 26.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 53c | 22.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 79c | 12.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 0.5Over won
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5Under won
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5Under won
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Italy (-1.5)Luxembourg won
- Spread: Italy (-2.5)Luxembourg won
- Spread: Luxembourg (-1.5)Italy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.