TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c13,442$6,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,483.4759230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over55c5,291$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.335062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd54a…f538backed Under52c4,724$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c4,701$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.9110539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over50c3,860$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.9124144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over26c3,762$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.0531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under54c3,581$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.3712146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under64c3,509$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.551,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over50c3,093$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.8122041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.994751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over33c1,800$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.092,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c1,799$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.724,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over52c1,735$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.2510949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Over53c1,438$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.9210152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c1,384$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.523,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over28c1,302$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.092,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over56c1,254$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c1,254$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.22,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53014433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c983.02$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.041,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over51c975.37$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Over57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018550.3%93 W · 92 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under46c656.05$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5184844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30037451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c505.67$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.293,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over54c460$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under46c432.6$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.611654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under50c410$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2055232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over48c400$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19014146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20439050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over27c394.2$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.651,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over21c378.03$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1774034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6913953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16222226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c292$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14610744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe512…9761backed Over55c290.91$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over29c282.89$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8223940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c275.72$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.613,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over51c264.71$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1356845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b8…243fbacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under74c216.22$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2245248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under46c200.96$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.491,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over50c199.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1314342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under50c192$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9610042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Over38c191$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5813231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under44c189$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.241,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004744.7%21 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c184.64$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.961,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over51c181.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6422450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c156.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.373,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c156.96$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over31c151.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under45c130.35$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3218435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over50c121.82$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.913,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6451429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Over53c113.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Over32c110$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.217217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3143653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5120050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2727028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5133653.3%179 W · 157 L+0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over51c86.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.068750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under49c86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.741344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.450450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under46c77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6739746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under46c75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.632,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over30c74.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5223345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c66.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.482,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over26c58.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2987651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under46c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.523552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over54c50.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3736329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over49c46.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2382340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over26c42.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9618764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2093542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Over49c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5913745.3%62 W · 75 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Under64c39.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.15549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1120047%94 W · 106 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1137950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over49c38.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.131,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Under51c35.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.619443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked Over55c34.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.716142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2841857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160c…185cbacked Under47c31.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7116633.7%56 W · 110 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over55c27.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1231550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over57c26.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…891bbacked Under47c24.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.374158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf6…3c51backed Under66c24.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over57c22.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.