Fifa International · resolved market
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f9b76009a1c839e77ba7dbeb4c977d2f5a288a996c21176d482f09d0c59354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 13,442$6,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,483.47 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 55c | 5,291$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.33 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…f538backed Under | 52c | 4,724$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 4,701$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.63 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.91 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 50c | 3,860$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.91 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 26c | 3,762$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.05 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 54c | 3,581$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.37 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 3,509$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.55 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 50c | 3,093$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.81 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.09 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 1,799$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.72 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 52c | 1,735$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.25 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Over | 53c | 1,438$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.92 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 1,384$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.52 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 28c | 1,302$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.09 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 56c | 1,254$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 1,254$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 983.02$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.04 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Over | 51c | 975.37$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 46c | 656.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.51 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 505.67$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.29 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 54c | 460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Under | 46c | 432.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 50c | 410$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 394.2$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 21c | 378.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 50c | 292$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…9761backed Over | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 29c | 282.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 275.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…243fbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 74c | 216.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 46c | 200.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 50c | 199.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Over | 38c | 191$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 189$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 184.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 51c | 181.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 156.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 156.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 45c | 130.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 50c | 121.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Over | 53c | 113.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 51c | 86.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 46c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 30c | 74.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 66.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 26c | 58.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 54c | 50.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 26c | 42.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 64c | 39.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 49c | 38.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 51c | 35.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Over | 55c | 34.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked Under | 47c | 31.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 55c | 27.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 57c | 26.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked Under | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…3c51backed Under | 66c | 24.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5this page
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 0.5Over won
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5Under won
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Italy (-1.5)Luxembourg won
- Spread: Italy (-2.5)Luxembourg won
- Spread: Luxembourg (-1.5)Italy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.