Spread: Italy (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2736e273e354a1e9f4f6d5556f665b12a4b8654064cde568ccd86db1ddefa34

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Luxembourgof Italy, Luxembourg
Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,047 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Luxembourg	62c	7,400$4,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,799.5	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Italy	40c	4,988$1,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,981.55	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…a565backed Italy	47c	4,134$1,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,951.85	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Luxembourg	52c	2,272$1,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,090.23	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Luxembourg	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$859.98	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd54a…f538backed Italy	47c	1,450$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Italy	42c	686.33$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	+7.6wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+107.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Luxembourg	57c	600$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Luxembourg	59c	575.98$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.04	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Italy	41c	501.62$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.88	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Italy	24c	479.17$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	128	53.9%69 W · 59 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Luxembourg	60c	473.67$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.47	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ef…9a9fbacked Italy	42c	471.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ca…30f9backed Italy	43c	465.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Italy	42c	399.92$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.97	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Luxembourg	58c	378.04$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.06	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Luxembourg	60c	367.95$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.81	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Italy	41c	365.85$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Luxembourg	74c	340$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.4	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Italy	43c	337.21$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	291	38.5%112 W · 179 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Luxembourg	59c	331.72$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.21	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Italy	23c	312$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.27	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Italy	42c	299.98$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Italy	33c	264.79$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.41	222	26.6%59 W · 163 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Italy	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x65eb…2c83backed Italy	43c	230.7$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Luxembourg	61c	223.09$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.26	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Luxembourg	67c	216.99$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.61	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Luxembourg	63c	208.97$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.8	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Luxembourg	60c	205.36$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.4	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Luxembourg	63c	198.64$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.78	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Italy	43c	174$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.82	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Luxembourg	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7721…e537backed Italy	37c	165$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.65	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Luxembourg	59c	162.13$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.28	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Italy	40c	150.25$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.1	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-6.4wins	-0.24per pick	68cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Luxembourg	58c	143$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.75	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Luxembourg	58c	138.88$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.33	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Luxembourg	58c	125.93$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.08	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Italy	27c	125.93$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Luxembourg	60c	124.57$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.57	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Italy	25c	122.98$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.69	249	35.3%88 W · 161 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Luxembourg	58c	121.04$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.04	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Italy	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Italy	16c	113$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	212	26.9%57 W · 155 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Luxembourg	62c	109.38$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.01	187	64.2%120 W · 67 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Italy	39c	104.55$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Italy	47c	103$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.41	82	61%50 W · 32 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Italy	41c	102.22$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.91	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Luxembourg	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	138	38.4%53 W · 85 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Italy	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.85	75	44%33 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Italy	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed Italy	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.20per pick	32cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Italy	28c	99.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	75	32%24 W · 51 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Italy	42c	99.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Italy	43c	99.9$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.33	379	50.1%190 W · 189 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Luxembourg	56c	98$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.88	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Luxembourg	72c	79.98$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.39	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3994…1fadbacked Luxembourg	56c	78$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.93	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	58cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Italy	39c	76.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	524	41.4%217 W · 307 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Italy	40c	75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Italy	40c	75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Italy	42c	73.68$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	268	35.4%95 W · 173 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0f…7d7dbacked Italy	43c	69.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Luxembourg	59c	68.37$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.03	414	51.4%213 W · 201 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Luxembourg	59c	68.37$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.03	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Italy	42c	63.96$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.98	397	46.3%184 W · 213 L	-28.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Italy	32c	55.06$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.89	233	45.1%105 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Luxembourg	60c	54.9$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.9	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Italy	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Luxembourg	58c	50.54$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Luxembourg	55c	50.28$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.6	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Luxembourg	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Luxembourg	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	135	57.8%78 W · 57 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Luxembourg	58c	48.6$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.17	235	52.8%124 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Italy	33c	46.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+34.7wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+61%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Italy	33c	46.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	142	60.6%86 W · 56 L	+25.7wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Italy	43c	45.28$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	231	42.4%98 W · 133 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Italy	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	165	44.8%74 W · 91 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Luxembourg	58c	43.9$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.44	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Luxembourg	64c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	137	45.3%62 W · 75 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Luxembourg	56c	39$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.16	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Luxembourg	65c	38.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.82	146	47.3%69 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Luxembourg	58c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.12	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8781…2d2ebacked Luxembourg	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Luxembourg	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	370	57.3%212 W · 158 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Italy	45c	33.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Italy	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-31%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Luxembourg	68c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.64	118	60.2%71 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Luxembourg	58c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	242	57.9%140 W · 102 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Italy	43c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Luxembourg	62c	29.03$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.03	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Luxembourg	61c	27.69$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Luxembourg	56c	26.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.77	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Luxembourg	67c	22.26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.38	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Luxembourg	58c	21.86$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.17	360	45.3%163 W · 197 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Italy (-1.5)this page
Luxembourg vs. Italy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 0.5Over won
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5Under won
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5Under won
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 3.5Under won
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 4.5Under won
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Italy (-2.5)Luxembourg won
Spread: Luxembourg (-1.5)Italy won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Italy (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event