Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0deb746efcab6856fcccea970580c3e47b157525ac40be5d7f10299fdd9b95e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 22,242$14,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,828.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed No | 46c | 14,959$6,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,881.33 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 13,302$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.72 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 55c | 8,181$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.26 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 46c | 7,631$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.08 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 5,492$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 46c | 4,214$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.1 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 47c | 4,124$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.22 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 80c | 3,821$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.25 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 45c | 3,455$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.81 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 46c | 2,900$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Yes | 60c | 1,679$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.98 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…425cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,643$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.86 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 41c | 1,200$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.83 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Yes | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 46c | 999.93$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 970$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.35 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 54c | 797.21$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.87 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 749.16$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.31 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 54c | 666.2$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 543$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked No | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 320 | 46.6%149 W · 171 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 36c | 494.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.46 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 12c | 493.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 54c | 462.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 69c | 443.7$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…18d6backed Yes | 56c | 372.79$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 54c | 359.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 5c | 325.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 15c | 283.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 44c | 280$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 270$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 33c | 220$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…ca7abacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 47c | 199.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192e…d738backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 75c | 184.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…5befbacked No | 47c | 184.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 52c | 168.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 32c | 148.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 53c | 146.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked No | 47c | 136.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 54c | 128.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 54c | 126.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…2699backed Yes | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…6adcbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…2175backed Yes | 55c | 98.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed No | 47c | 95.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…95ebbacked No | 47c | 95.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 54c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 174 | 32.8%57 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 46c | 84.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed No | 47c | 83.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 234 | 43.6%102 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 46c | 80.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…f640backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 68c | 79.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 46c | 71.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Yes | 63c | 69.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 46c | 58.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 53c | 56.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…b685backed Yes | 54c | 46.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…384fbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked No | 46c | 42.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7640…1aedbacked No | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…768cbacked Yes | 56c | 40.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 32c | 38.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…6917backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 133 | 65.4%87 W · 46 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…ddc2backed No | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 266 | 52.3%139 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 54c | 36.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…041bbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…d0dfbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 54c | 33.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?this page
- Australia leading at halftime?No won
- Paraguay leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.