Fifa International · resolved market
Australia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91ce0222c677c96796736a9e616384e04b09581737ded09105f779246746787b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes | 11c | 20,221$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.76 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 20c | 10,519$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,815$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 20c | 2,454$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,553$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.07 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,374$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 1,267$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 2c | 1,033$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf119…41b6backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 21c | 339.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 23c | 321.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 311.52$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…f6a1backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 77c | 220$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 19c | 219.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 207.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 18c | 200.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…42c0backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…285cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 19c | 180.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5089…0a3abacked Yes | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ed52backed Yes | 10c | 145.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 80c | 136$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 10c | 107.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54e…2e45backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 15c | 74.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada3…cc50backed Yes | 20c | 64.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…1598backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 49.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 77c | 38.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 80c | 35.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…b74cbacked No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia leading at halftime?this page
- Paraguay leading at halftime?No won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.