Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c576e7be09304fcbbef5952725039e0132cd864302e3fb4eec77e3338c811f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 18,342$11,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,148.08 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 44c | 17,391$7,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595.08 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 43c | 16,154$7,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,025.79 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 13,066$6,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,010.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 44c | 9,063$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.72 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 8,768$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.47 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 59c | 8,184$4,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.73 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 42c | 7,673$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.62 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 43c | 7,293$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.46 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 57c | 6,802$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.66 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 59c | 5,124$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.61 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 45c | 5,045$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.15 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes | 53c | 4,549$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.99 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -10.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 56c | 3,513$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.7 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…d109backed Yes | 57c | 3,151$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 45c | 3,114$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.22 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,737$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.73 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 39c | 2,576$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 55c | 2,400$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5c01backed No | 43c | 2,049$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.16 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 58c | 1,637$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.21 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 57c | 1,632$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.58 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 46c | 1,565$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.25 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 46c | 1,527$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.42 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 61c | 1,415$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.96 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 32c | 1,314$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.62 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…425cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,261$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,062$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.35 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 9c | 999$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.09 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 10c | 994.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Yes | 57c | 863.58$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.34 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 830.74$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.63 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed No | 45c | 824$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.8 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed No | 45c | 794.31$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.44 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 750.56$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…eab0backed Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…f640backed Yes | 28c | 699.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.99 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Yes | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 57c | 650$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Yes | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 54c | 512$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Yes | 67c | 507.46$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 60c | 491.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.67 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Yes | 57c | 465.12$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 419.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 38c | 393.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 55c | 379.57$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked No | 44c | 366$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.04 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 54c | 358.38$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Yes | 11c | 350$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 53c | 345.07$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.18 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Yes | 61c | 330.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked No | 44c | 315.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 302.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 56c | 284.67$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…a0b1backed Yes | 55c | 249.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 55c | 248.95$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Yes | 62c | 245.16$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…25c5backed Yes | 56c | 227.29$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…814bbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed Yes | 54c | 213.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 44c | 200.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…6adcbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 56c | 199.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Yes | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 54c | 185.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…de6dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 54c | 184.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed No | 44c | 164.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes | 52c | 155.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Yes | 57c | 153.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6c…5c67backed No | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 54c | 145.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…ea06backed No | 44c | 143.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…1377backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes | 61c | 130.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?this page
- Algeria leading at halftime?No won
- Austria leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.