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Fifa International · resolved market

Austria leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No71c29,520$20,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,656.254,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c17,097$5,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,555.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes25c10,404$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.853426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c8,906$6,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.763,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No74c5,322$3,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.7416357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes27c5,103$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes50c3,826$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9de…7912backed Yes24c3,516$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+99.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes22c3,077$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.632,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes23c2,986$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.312,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes25c2,193$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.181,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No17c1,538$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.0498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No76c1,485$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.691,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No76c1,434$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.282,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes5c1,181$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.193,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No75c1,022$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6226454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No16c1,022$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.7254917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…a024backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101861.1%11 W · 7 L+7.7wins+0.43per pick19cpaid+216.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes20c999$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.852522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Yes17c800$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1362744.4%12 W · 15 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+153.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes4c598.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9525821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No77c584.64$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.62,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13041231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed No75c467.57$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.577950.6%40 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes24c415.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No76c400.86$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.211,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes75c396.5$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes24c341.45$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9548937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd342…4540backed Yes16c271.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51450%7 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+159.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.169764.9%63 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Yes41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.517645.5%80 W · 96 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No58c223.26$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.82,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6673…6efbbacked Yes23c220.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3212029.2%35 W · 85 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes6c185.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.141,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No76c176.72$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8642853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No76c173.53$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.253,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0396…4ae7backed Yes24c172.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No55c168.97$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1180225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No55c167.14$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.412,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No76c159.8$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes7c155.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8870750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes76c153.86$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4935034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes23c152$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5687938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No76c131.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.931,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3017557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Yes18c117.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.019221.7%20 W · 72 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No77c101.57$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.831,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723838.7%92 W · 146 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No74c98.01$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1781554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205223.1%12 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…e5febacked No43c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+191.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Yes22c88.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4413119.1%25 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No76c84.05$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa135…68b8backed No78c82.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.532245.3%146 W · 176 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No62c80.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6964850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes20c77.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7541968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked No77c77.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8624246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No77c73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0586656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…3b32backed Yes28c69.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.516147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No78c64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.081,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3099…3896backed Yes79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507255.6%40 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No79c62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Yes27c59.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8711338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes22c52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.442,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes24c49.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.122,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb93…6565backed Yes78c44.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed No60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0542554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Yes48c24.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0227466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes75c24.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb852…8eb3backed No78c20.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6212449.2%61 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d7…f41abacked No78c20.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6225748.6%125 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cff…e98bbacked No78c20.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.624355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd4…897ebacked No79c20.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2412956.6%73 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed No75c20.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528257.1%161 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5522…7695backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510463.5%66 W · 38 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.450950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed No75c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527663%174 W · 102 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37e…2709backed No77c19.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.543577.1%27 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No77c15.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5348328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00f1…1a08backed No76c13.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.083644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.