Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11899673456122ba66150c6e15887451435638d1c295e24437fb1424b41f44be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS | 22c | 2,901$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.29 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed MODUS | 25c | 2,235$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.27 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Power Rangers | 72c | 1,939$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.81 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Power Rangers | 63c | 1,870$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.75 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Power Rangers | 58c | 1,365$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.45 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked MODUS | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS | 40c | 975.63$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.48 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked MODUS | 35c | 961.03$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.92 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MODUS | 39c | 779.41$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.58 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Power Rangers | 75c | 599.78$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Power Rangers | 59c | 590.88$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.7 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 39c | 483.96$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 428.78$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed MODUS | 24c | 389.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MODUS | 38c | 297.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Power Rangers | 65c | 290$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed MODUS | 29c | 261.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…e39ebacked Power Rangers | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MODUS | 34c | 231.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed MODUS | 9c | 191.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed Power Rangers | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed MODUS | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 63c | 151.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed MODUS | 28c | 146.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Power Rangers | 57c | 132.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed MODUS | 25c | 127.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Power Rangers | 60c | 126.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Power Rangers | 65c | 119.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked MODUS | 32c | 114.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MODUS | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MODUS | 33c | 107.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Power Rangers | 65c | 106.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Power Rangers | 65c | 105.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers | 77c | 103.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Power Rangers | 55c | 102.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked MODUS | 39c | 98.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Power Rangers | 64c | 95.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed MODUS | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 31c | 94.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Power Rangers | 63c | 92.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Power Rangers | 61c | 89.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MODUS | 39c | 74.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Power Rangers | 68c | 72.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 70.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Power Rangers | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed MODUS | 26c | 64.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Power Rangers | 61c | 47.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Power Rangers | 68c | 44.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed MODUS | 36c | 42.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked MODUS | 35c | 41.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed MODUS | 31c | 39.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed MODUS | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Power Rangers | 60c | 35.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…e8e7backed Power Rangers | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Power Rangers | 68c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked MODUS | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Power Rangers | 63c | 27.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerMODUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.