Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fcdee0b05a67a57ab807fda2947d4d66f139e80e009a8b546b2354f7625f5c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MODUSof Power Rangers, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Power Rangers | 64c | 3,139$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.69 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS | 40c | 1,275$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.6 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MODUS | 38c | 1,105$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.91 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MODUS | 38c | 908.22$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Power Rangers | 70c | 785.45$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Power Rangers | 60c | 780.01$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.33 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 14c | 680.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.32 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked MODUS | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed Power Rangers | 60c | 566.08$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed MODUS | 39c | 558.77$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c8…50eabacked Power Rangers | 60c | 556.32$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…8ce4backed MODUS | 39c | 549.14$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 31c | 404.75$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MODUS | 35c | 287.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Power Rangers | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MODUS | 14c | 239$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MODUS | 41c | 211.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…8a0bbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Power Rangers | 69c | 189.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MODUS | 39c | 189.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MODUS | 35c | 148.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed MODUS | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Power Rangers | 59c | 99.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked MODUS | 12c | 97.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 66c | 97.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 89.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MODUS | 38c | 88.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Power Rangers | 58c | 82.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Power Rangers | 73c | 69.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Power Rangers | 65c | 63.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Power Rangers | 45c | 63.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Power Rangers | 72c | 58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MODUS | 31c | 57.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Power Rangers | 72c | 57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Power Rangers | 72c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Power Rangers | 62c | 54.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed MODUS | 35c | 49.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MODUS | 43c | 48.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed MODUS | 37c | 48.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Power Rangers | 63c | 46.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Power Rangers | 57c | 41.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…ab19backed Power Rangers | 53c | 39.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS | 36c | 38.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked MODUS | 38c | 37.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…01e9backed Power Rangers | 46c | 37.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed MODUS | 35c | 33.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Power Rangers | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Power Rangers | 66c | 31.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed Power Rangers | 46c | 30.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Power Rangers | 57c | 29.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed MODUS | 46c | 27.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Power Rangers | 46c | 22.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed Power Rangers | 70c | 21.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers | 72c | 17.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Power Rangers | 73c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Power Rangers | 72c | 15.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.