TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MODUSof Power Rangers, MODUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87da…53d1backed Power Rangers64c3,139$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.6996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS40c1,275$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.667043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked MODUS38c1,105$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.911,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MODUS38c908.22$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56551751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Power Rangers70c785.45$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.935758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Power Rangers60c780.01$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.3347046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked MODUS14c680.38$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.321,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked MODUS35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39046240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1854…be98backed Power Rangers60c566.08$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.651850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd8…2213backed MODUS39c558.77$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.851030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c8…50eabacked Power Rangers60c556.32$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f19…8ce4backed MODUS39c549.14$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS31c404.75$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.232,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed MODUS35c287.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1933644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Power Rangers61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked MODUS14c239$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5477458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MODUS41c211.71$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.911,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c09…8a0bbacked Power Rangers65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked Power Rangers69c189.26$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5917373.4%127 W · 46 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MODUS39c189.16$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.391,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MODUS35c148.92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.81,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed MODUS15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8572637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Power Rangers59c99.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4820151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked MODUS12c97.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6395841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers66c97.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6673554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Power Rangers65c89.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0986659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed MODUS38c88.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.891,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Power Rangers58c82.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1155147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed Power Rangers73c69.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.787429.7%22 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Power Rangers65c63.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3696245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Power Rangers45c63.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6820954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Power Rangers72c58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7469033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MODUS31c57.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.461,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Power Rangers72c57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0165337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Power Rangers72c55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5536044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Power Rangers62c54.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8346150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed MODUS35c49.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.493759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MODUS43c48.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5364123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed MODUS37c48.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3297142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked Power Rangers63c46.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1633854.1%183 W · 155 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked Power Rangers57c41.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8928846.9%135 W · 153 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1676…ab19backed Power Rangers53c39.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.725545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS36c38.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.562,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked MODUS38c37.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1629350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8b…01e9backed Power Rangers46c37.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.134443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed MODUS35c33.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.896055%33 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…bb4abacked Power Rangers62c32.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Power Rangers66c31.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5314963.1%94 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff1…12e4backed Power Rangers46c30.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0912937.2%48 W · 81 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…6237backed Power Rangers57c29.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.936149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed MODUS46c27.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.762751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7560…1ee1backed Power Rangers46c22.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3621133.6%71 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f3…12a9backed Power Rangers70c21.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2511739.3%46 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers72c17.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.491,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1620…227bbacked Power Rangers73c16.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3313762.8%86 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Power Rangers72c15.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.946157.4%35 W · 26 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.