Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44b56292090a0d1d65114fe744520fe312663e6239481e8f1b1a4482d93780f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 10c | 5,179$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked No | 35c | 2,376$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.96 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 11c | 967.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.57 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 61c | 898.11$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.26 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 798.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.09 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 16c | 708.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 53c | 697.25$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.61 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Yes | 63c | 654.61$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 62c | 480.52$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 72c | 418.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yes | 60c | 405.6$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6412…2297backed Yes | 17c | 404.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +235%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…4f4bbacked Yes | 13c | 378.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 17c | 310.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.83 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 61c | 295.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 48c | 278$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 79c | 269.3$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 61c | 204.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Yes | 62c | 203.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed No | 40c | 199.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Yes | 60c | 199$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Yes | 68c | 152.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 61c | 144.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 13c | 142.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 141.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 64c | 141.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 48c | 122.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 11c | 117.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 60c | 117.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 104.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 60c | 101$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 37c | 100.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 53c | 94.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 16c | 91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 14c | 90.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c1…af7ebacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…fd38backed Yes | 16c | 82.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +536.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 79.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…10ebbacked Yes | 14c | 79.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…1002backed Yes | 60c | 75.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 63c | 73.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 55c | 67.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed No | 40c | 65.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 36c | 52.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Yes | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…6c2dbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…dbfdbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 27.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…71c6backed Yes | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.