Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bf4afd06a130181c45f8f5d302d1c640a0ebf96fbbbd7303c98fd946e10cc38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 4,841$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.92 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 46c | 3,299$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.77 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 38c | 2,631$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 29c | 999.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 40c | 799.77$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 63c | 525.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.27 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 63c | 514.56$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 63c | 514.56$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 63c | 509.06$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.44 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 61c | 395.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 363.4$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 56c | 334.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 58c | 307.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 278.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…2398backed Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 195.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 170.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 55c | 170.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 55c | 170.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 46c | 168.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 59c | 165.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Over | 77c | 128.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 31c | 120.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 58c | 119.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 59c | 114.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 46c | 98.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 63c | 97.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under | 17c | 85.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +331.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 20c | 65.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 21c | 64.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 38c | 56.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Over | 80c | 51.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 49.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 59c | 48.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 59c | 48.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 48c | 40.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 54c | 37.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 56c | 36.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 61c | 35.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 59c | 34.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…596dbacked Under | 65c | 24.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 64c | 23.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 64c | 18.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 71c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.