Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0630ffdebaef548b5c6fe237edaf0446ea8da59be6d35f91ae0fffd43afdd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 33c | 1,500$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 743.47$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.31 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 6c | 262.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 67c | 135.08$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 67c | 119.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 45c | 108.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Yes | 42c | 92.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 65c | 73.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 68c | 71.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 65c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 71c | 61.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 45.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0ba0backed No | 53c | 36.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 58c | 31.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 26.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 63c | 26.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 62c | 25.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 62c | 25.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 62c | 25.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed No | 62c | 25.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 69c | 22.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 69c | 22.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 69c | 22.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 62c | 20.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 62c | 20.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.