Australian A League · resolved market
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d1406755b2b693a7df16c8ff7e5851e902b4f36f279e4ab8c644c0efd8332e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 3,609$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.65 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 50c | 2,940$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 47c | 617.86$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 573.88$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 22c | 545.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 50c | 544.56$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Over | 49c | 474.6$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 456.55$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 53c | 363.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…5546backed Over | 54c | 299.49$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 49c | 297.37$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Under | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 36c | 267.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…3ad1backed Over | 40c | 265.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 41c | 259.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…b9bebacked Over | 31c | 216.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 54c | 205.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 197.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 58c | 171.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 42c | 146.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 145.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Under | 68c | 144.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 39c | 144.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 55c | 134.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 133$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 21c | 132.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 15c | 131.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 59c | 131.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 46c | 128.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 120.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…e39ebacked Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Over | 58c | 117.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 79c | 117.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 28c | 106.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 79c | 103$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 101.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 48c | 100.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…f519backed Over | 62c | 88.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…1d61backed Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 48c | 79.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 75.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 73.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 24c | 69.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 51.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 47c | 45.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 67c | 41.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 32c | 41.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 37c | 36.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 34.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 41c | 29.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…3b18backed Over | 49c | 27.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 44c | 24.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 56c | 24.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 58c | 24.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62a…98babacked Over | 44c | 24.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 53c | 22.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Under | 45c | 22.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9223…330ebacked Under | 65c | 19.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…964fbacked Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.