Australian A League · resolved market
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafbe36725376998e223f8522b8a79dc87ac83391c77f3ce31d11c78c54ed3816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc518…b9bebacked Over | 53c | 1,800$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 60c | 1,756$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,567$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.06 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 32c | 883$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.57 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 59c | 872.74$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 726.39$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.06 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 40c | 709.58$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 59c | 665.67$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.61 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 492.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 487.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 61c | 412.09$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 50c | 389.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 386.55$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 41c | 373$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.1 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 254.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 41c | 233.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 45c | 230.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 40c | 222.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 55c | 177.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 60c | 134.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 131.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 41c | 104.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 97.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 62c | 90.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 40c | 85.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 41c | 65.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 64.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 43c | 53.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 43c | 53.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 43c | 53.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 43c | 53.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 43c | 53.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Under | 41c | 46.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 45.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 60c | 44.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 41c | 41.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 61c | 39.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 40c | 35.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 71c | 35.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 43c | 29.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 41c | 27.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed Over | 60c | 26.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Over | 60c | 24.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Over | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Over | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Over | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 67c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.