Australian A League · resolved market
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f528a6b66d7f0ce422a17c83f92329533c3a205f933923a4980e3d4603af72b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb74…3ad1backed Over | 67c | 2,413$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 65c | 2,019$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.71 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 1,986$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.66 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Over | 79c | 1,305$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 38c | 585.28$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 27c | 543.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 22c | 513.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 408.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 338.46$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.26 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Over | 65c | 303.49$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 30c | 249.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 76c | 229.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 20c | 229.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 223.48$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 23c | 212.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 70c | 210$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 35c | 193.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 66c | 148.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 138.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 65c | 136.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…b9bebacked Over | 66c | 125.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 35c | 125$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…1d61backed Over | 65c | 115.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 18c | 115.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 33c | 101.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Under | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 23c | 94.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 21c | 71.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 62c | 65.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 21c | 63.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Over | 36c | 31.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Over | 36c | 31.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 37c | 30.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 37c | 30.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 37c | 30.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…98e6backed Over | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Under | 71c | 17.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Central Coast Mariners FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.