La Liga · resolved market
SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9030a131f7d6a6c5015dac56e087a355cff2c6f4498acc2a3721cd3fd0489882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 5,658$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.33 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 75c | 2,546$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 67c | 2,300$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.99 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 58c | 2,293$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.33 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 13c | 2,000$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.15 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 1,707$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.81 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.99 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,425$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 1,114$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.36 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 41c | 800.52$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.8 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed Over | 43c | 599.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 24c | 579.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.17 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 45c | 561.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 43c | 487.18$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.16 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 44c | 486.36$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Under | 32c | 470.46$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 404.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.18 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 58c | 344.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.77 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 42c | 277.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…d379backed Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 243.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 42c | 238.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…f285backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 228.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.34 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 199.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 58c | 191.93$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 51c | 168.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 42c | 161.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…e7efbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 41c | 139.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 50c | 114.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…835cbacked Over | 20c | 111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 41c | 106.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 41c | 106.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 41c | 106.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 41c | 106.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 42c | 104.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Over | 42c | 104.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09d…add2backed Under | 27c | 98.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…8958backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…cddbbacked Under | 42c | 70.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 27c | 67.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 41c | 60.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 41c | 60.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…dd59backed Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 41c | 56.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 46c | 46.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 72c | 41.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 41c | 38.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…0026backed Over | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 35.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 60c | 35.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…006dbacked Under | 57c | 33.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…a754backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Over | 75c | 32.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 40c | 30.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 40c | 30.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 42c | 28.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 46c | 22.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 58c | 19.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 69c | 14.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5this page
- SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5Under won
- SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)SD Huesca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.