La Liga · resolved market
SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1373a582aa58b1e84a97bda1b6f80bff9fe10ced256584de3258973211dbde9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 31c | 2,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.92 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 1,612$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.96 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,589$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.9 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 36c | 740$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 734.32$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.45 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 28c | 673.4$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.07 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 31c | 517.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 37c | 513.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 22c | 504.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 384.22$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 20c | 307.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 65c | 264.53$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 39c | 258.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 199$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 22c | 195.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…8958backed Over | 23c | 143$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 63c | 131.49$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1e6dbacked Over | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 21c | 93.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 82.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 80.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Under | 76c | 65.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 29c | 53.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 24c | 44.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 63c | 28.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 73c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…955bbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5this page
- SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5Under won
- SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)SD Huesca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.