CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b13abc95122cf4e2c73ef62fcb479474ce1870f6261f46b353bb2989e5c3050
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wildcard | 19c | 3,330$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.34 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed B8 | 63c | 2,501$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.49 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard | 36c | 2,269$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wildcard | 38c | 1,808$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.01 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wildcard | 38c | 1,702$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.79 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x918a…6a0cbacked B8 | 77c | 1,480$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Wildcard | 22c | 1,058$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked B8 | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Wildcard | 6c | 797.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Wildcard | 11c | 757.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Wildcard | 10c | 748.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked B8 | 63c | 730.71$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Wildcard | 36c | 631.06$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed B8 | 64c | 537.92$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.65 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f5…1a48backed Wildcard | 12c | 509.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed B8 | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Wildcard | 3c | 471.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B8 | 62c | 427.78$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Wildcard | 22c | 399.24$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…0b0abacked B8 | 66c | 369.39$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…9728backed B8 | 65c | 369.37$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Wildcard | 39c | 368.05$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Wildcard | 21c | 357.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Wildcard | 38c | 316.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed B8 | 79c | 298.1$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Wildcard | 13c | 294.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B8 | 62c | 283.42$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Wildcard | 23c | 261.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Wildcard | 38c | 250.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wildcard | 34c | 245.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Wildcard | 4c | 242.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed B8 | 62c | 241.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed B8 | 65c | 240$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Wildcard | 36c | 232.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed B8 | 65c | 216.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed B8 | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed B8 | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed B8 | 63c | 198.6$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…6f3cbacked Wildcard | 9c | 186.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Wildcard | 7c | 186.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Wildcard | 32c | 157.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked B8 | 68c | 147.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed B8 | 61c | 140.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Wildcard | 21c | 131.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked B8 | 75c | 130.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked B8 | 77c | 127.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…d073backed Wildcard | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Wildcard | 33c | 122.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed B8 | 61c | 112.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wildcard | 22c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed B8 | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed Wildcard | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Wildcard | 32c | 92.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Wildcard | 13c | 87.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…05aabacked B8 | 80c | 82.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed B8 | 63c | 77.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed B8 | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8e3fbacked Wildcard | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Wildcard | 22c | 62.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Wildcard | 24c | 60.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Wildcard | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…242cbacked Wildcard | 21c | 51.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed B8 | 62c | 47.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Wildcard | 36c | 40.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wildcard | 41c | 35.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed B8 | 72c | 33.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed B8 | 72c | 29.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Wildcard | 36c | 28.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Wildcard | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked B8 | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed B8 | 65c | 18.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed B8 | 64c | 16.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.