CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95addf7d09c02f659b065fdf6dd0e51ea47199fb7e8aa6fcd9e89ac3e5d53c50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Wildcard | 53c | 9,977$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,276.27 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed B8 | 47c | 9,947$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.33 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked B8 | 45c | 3,949$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.38 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wildcard | 53c | 2,139$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.94 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Wildcard | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Wildcard | 54c | 1,695$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.03 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed B8 | 46c | 1,505$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.78 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Wildcard | 54c | 1,468$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.02 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked B8 | 47c | 1,448$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.43 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Wildcard | 54c | 1,187$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.52 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Wildcard | 53c | 777$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.81 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed B8 | 48c | 600.19$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.47 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Wildcard | 55c | 520.35$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.31 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Wildcard | 56c | 492.03$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.54 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed B8 | 44c | 473.54$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.18 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed B8 | 45c | 377.44$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed B8 | 52c | 280.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked B8 | 44c | 276.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7c83backed B8 | 45c | 247.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Wildcard | 48c | 239.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked B8 | 45c | 207.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed B8 | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked B8 | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed B8 | 44c | 184.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed B8 | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Wildcard | 55c | 106.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb92…b02dbacked B8 | 46c | 105.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed B8 | 50c | 96.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed B8 | 77c | 84.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Wildcard | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Wildcard | 54c | 71.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…b54abacked B8 | 49c | 68.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed B8 | 48c | 50.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed B8 | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Wildcard | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked B8 | 48c | 42.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 69c | 39.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed B8 | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed B8 | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked B8 | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed B8 | 79c | 27.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…c21fbacked Wildcard | 53c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed B8 | 46c | 23.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed B8 | 49c | 21.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Wildcard | 54c | 19.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Wildcard | 55c | 19.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Wildcard | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.