CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc112ae458bba51445a1847a6ddd8e6cce44cdad8f858e39baee3f9c6bf61cbf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 46c | 105,796$48,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,578.47 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 54c | 87,870$47,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,420.12 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 55c | 4,598$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.04 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Under | 54c | 4,405$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.29 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 54c | 2,248$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.27 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 54c | 1,972$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…05aabacked Under | 76c | 1,080$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 43c | 914.64$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.57 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 57c | 866.49$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.59 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed Under | 54c | 705.88$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.71 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 16c | 504.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 24c | 406.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 76c | 377.63$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 58c | 336.31$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 72c | 202.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Under | 63c | 155.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 79c | 143.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 38c | 131.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 71c | 124.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 75c | 105.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 55c | 101.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Over | 25c | 80.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 36c | 70.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Over | 24c | 68.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 62c | 54.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 70c | 54.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…242cbacked Over | 28c | 53.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 38c | 52.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 40c | 41.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Under | 73c | 39.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…e458backed Under | 58c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 71c | 34.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…6882backed Under | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed Under | 57c | 30.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…bf73backed Under | 56c | 20.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e083backed Under | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Under | 69c | 19.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed Under | 75c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.