La Liga · resolved market
FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e40a501dad2d69c281cfe4593e1c0fa9dd5a06b598c101830dda6587f033b66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,981$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.08 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 62c | 1,908$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 12c | 1,232$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.39 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 1,102$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,091$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Over | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 14c | 525.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.86 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 508.56$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.97 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 486.1$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.35 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 12c | 380.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.62 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 53c | 265.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 13c | 249.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.23 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 41c | 244.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 241.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed Over | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 192.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 24c | 143.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 129.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Under | 42c | 128.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…fd38backed Under | 80c | 121$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 58c | 118.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 104$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Over | 13c | 98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 54c | 92.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 14c | 92.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 80c | 81.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed Under | 46c | 42.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Over | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…e7efbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…dd59backed Under | 55c | 28.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 52c | 26.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…24aebacked Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 63c | 18.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.