La Liga · resolved market
FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2c2124ef90f633ef2bb8c1e9cf0a6b7e7b2197ec58ae488ded7639596521f82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,508$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.76 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 69c | 1,449$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.05 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 492.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 76c | 421.05$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 403.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 9c | 397.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 25c | 373.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 245.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 75c | 206.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 74c | 176$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 128.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…cddbbacked Under | 14c | 110.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 101.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 95.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 84.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 72.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 68.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…b162backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 74c | 45.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Over | 74c | 42.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…a428backed Over | 76c | 28.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 74c | 24.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.