La Liga · resolved market
FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a72771d54fc06aa289ae2ece489619e7794ace9a6960eebec25a2c362ab7df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 944.92$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.29 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 29c | 588.42$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 29c | 513.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.29 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 29c | 512.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 320.87$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 8c | 190$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 34c | 189.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 172.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 167$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 76c | 137.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Under | 50c | 107.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 30c | 91.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 70c | 88.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 87.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 76.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 176 | 63.1%111 W · 65 L | +32.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 60c | 62.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 72c | 55.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 64c | 54.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 73c | 31.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 74c | 31.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…cddbbacked Over | 50c | 30.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed Under | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 77c | 23.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 73c | 23.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 22.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…f94abacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 78c | 18.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 78c | 15.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.