La Liga · resolved market
FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd92a120d7d1e15562c2182d49562c45c272fb7832528303eebb4f9e8fdb969a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 4,746$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.7 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 52c | 3,419$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 2,275$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.67 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 52c | 2,269$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.27 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 51c | 2,086$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 1,216$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.15 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 55c | 1,076$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.16 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 51c | 934.15$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.15 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 50c | 859.26$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.67 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 51c | 809.92$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.86 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 51c | 586.27$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.27 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 42c | 422.09$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 53c | 255.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.09 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 19c | 249.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 185.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 50c | 169.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Under | 19c | 161.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 140.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 120.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 107.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 106.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Over | 51c | 100.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 51c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 51c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 51c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 51c | 97.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 93.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Under | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 74.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 62.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…a754backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…8958backed Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 176 | 63.1%111 W · 65 L | +32.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 48.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 49c | 45.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 51c | 44.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 43.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 34c | 43.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 50c | 42.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 35c | 40.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Under | 55c | 36.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 53c | 35.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 52c | 30.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 52c | 30.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 52c | 30.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…24c6backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 51c | 29.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Under | 51c | 27.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 26.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 52c | 26.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Under | 50c | 25.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 51c | 24.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…e508backed Over | 50c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…0a40backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…bc99backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 47c | 21.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…3ce1backed Over | 50c | 20.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…75c5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.