La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c58bc2b33c0498d4a36d77afee49a146dac3b9a0ee38a875872dd28a5763aa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 69c | 13,839$9,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.99 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 12,434$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.56 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 1,473$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.37 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 71c | 699.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 613.66$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 536.43$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 526.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 80c | 525$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 283.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 70c | 270.2$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 263.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 70c | 231$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Over | 75c | 211.7$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed Under | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 71c | 187.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 70c | 155.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 31c | 138.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 31c | 138.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 31c | 138.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 20c | 124.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 31c | 114.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Under | 18c | 81.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 74c | 74.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Over | 69c | 65.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 70c | 64.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Over | 69c | 62.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 31c | 55.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Under | 26c | 54.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 68c | 51.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 30c | 40.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7757backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 75c | 32.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d84…7b78backed Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 78c | 22.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 79c | 22.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 79c | 13.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.