La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b76914037dc1981ebce3eabf7e879fa87a98e1c1f4668d682f6de70c27a0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 4,250$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 4,236$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.08 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 35c | 1,304$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.46 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 80c | 999.81$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 13c | 849.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 73c | 625.13$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.81 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 80c | 624.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +10.0wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 561.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.16 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 18c | 551.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 20c | 449.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 23c | 360$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 80c | 342.56$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 80c | 318.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 33c | 303.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 14c | 264.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.29 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 16c | 223.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 15c | 220$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 18c | 210.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 72c | 186.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 167.13$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 107.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +350.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 20c | 99.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 72.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Under | 60c | 66.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Over | 29c | 62.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Over | 45c | 61.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 71c | 56.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 70c | 55.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 53.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 34c | 49.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 32c | 43.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 27c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 32.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 72c | 28.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed Under | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d93abacked Over | 77c | 26.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over | 78c | 25.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 22.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 20.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 67c | 17.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)Real Racing Club won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-2.5)Real Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.