Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2aa7f691bf514ce644f3fd2cfee74b6d0f65b4839ab90f6250c7f21a05680b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 27c | 991.01$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.86 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 687.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 396.89$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 69c | 375$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 64c | 313.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 30c | 283$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 274.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 44c | 198.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 77c | 130.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 65c | 120.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 44c | 105.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 68c | 95.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 92.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 35c | 92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 51c | 79.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 47c | 63.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 69c | 55.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 27c | 54.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed Under | 53c | 47.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 44.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 64c | 41.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…4b1cbacked Over | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 28.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 51c | 27.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bb…7c05backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.