Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c3dcb2df2023589cf4d9ae09476b2797a653017c6706ffbf14cca88148b3fbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 654.85$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.07 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 33c | 466.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…3ad1backed Over | 42c | 433.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…9d35backed Over | 26c | 415.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…5272backed Under | 74c | 415.94$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 34c | 344.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…c267backed Over | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 61c | 263.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 31c | 245.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 235.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 65c | 200.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad9…77c2backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…d2aebacked Over | 62c | 160.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 63c | 124.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…1d61backed Over | 62c | 123.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 62c | 92.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 58c | 91.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 48c | 76.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Over | 36c | 73.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 61c | 73.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Over | 37c | 55.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 63c | 54.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 45c | 52.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 58c | 44.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 73c | 44.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 40c | 39.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 36c | 38.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 58c | 32.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Under | 58c | 32.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…9ef0backed Under | 55c | 29.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 63c | 28.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 43c | 26.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 68c | 25.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 74c | 17.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-2.5)Gangwon FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.