TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4361…75af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.46
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Chloe Paquet vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.24
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.48
Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$50.1
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.62
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.59
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.41
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.95
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.22
Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frechbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.21
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.97
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.73
Grand Prix Hassan II: Timofey Skatov vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+320.8%+$58.51
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.63
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Jay Clarkebacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Miyazaki: Hiroki Moriya vs Koki Matsudabacked Hiroki Moriya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.16
Miyazaki: James Kent Trotter vs Dan Addedbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$22.84
Sao Leopoldo: Paulo Dos Santos vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.35
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.23
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$15.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.