MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9deb30be76f13e341a5bf166a00eefd5a63bf02629c58ca0d6ff1a6b22292c5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 54c | 111,178$60,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,141.76 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 53c | 98,722$52,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,399.22 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 46c | 65,217$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 30,997$14,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,387.64 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 23,563$11,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,201.23 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 23,055$10,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,835.97 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 46c | 22,000$10,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,879.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 14,552$6,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,693.82 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 13,223$6,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,347.08 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 11,223$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 10,789$5,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070.6 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 49c | 8,279$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,056.93 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 54c | 6,482$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 4,876$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.09 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 55c | 4,576$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 3,961$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.84 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 3,738$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.09 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 54c | 3,197$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.53 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 60c | 3,196$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.32 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Over | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 2,427$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.99 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 2,299$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.16 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 46c | 2,104$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Over | 54c | 1,981$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 46c | 1,656$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.7 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,520$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.42 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 1,493$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 28c | 1,492$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.92 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 47c | 1,452$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 46c | 948.19$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.02 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 54c | 693.83$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.93 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 54c | 630.26$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under | 51c | 606$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.06 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 512.84$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.73 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 49c | 504.09$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 48c | 421.19$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.82 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 46c | 375.4$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.48 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 46c | 364.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 361.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 54c | 337.19$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.57 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 47c | 287.73$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 43c | 269.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 54c | 258.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.71 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 54c | 241.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 235.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 54c | 231.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 54c | 223.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 54c | 217.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Over | 49c | 215.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 213.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 48c | 212.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Over | 52c | 203.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 200.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 46c | 190.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 49c | 183.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 179.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 46c | 167.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 47c | 167.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Over | 48c | 165.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 47c | 158.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 49c | 155.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 154.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…8de2backed Over | 47c | 154.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 47c | 151.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Under | 62c | 151.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 51c | 124.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 47c | 110.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked Over | 46c | 109.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 48c | 109.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 54c | 91.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 46c | 90.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Under | 60c | 74.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Under | 60c | 74.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Under | 60c | 74.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under | 60c | 73.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…9722backed Over | 47c | 73.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 71.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 59c | 71.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore OriolesTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.