Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28626e23a472618ca334aea17b0710091f0c673dcb0b6c553edf2701dba477bc

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 7, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $129,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $121,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,966 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	78c	34,683$26,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,746.22	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over	12c	24,200$3,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,020	110	29.1%32 W · 78 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over	62c	15,580$9,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,630.05	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	26c	13,722$3,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,507.41	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	46c	13,679$6,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,342.14	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	11c	8,306$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.8	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	38c	7,483$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,632.78	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over	62c	6,149$3,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,822.97	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under	74c	5,000$3,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a0…92f9backed Over	27c	4,235$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,143.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over	61c	3,962$2,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,417.08	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over	62c	3,791$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,350.42	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	61c	2,583$1,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.7	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	77c	2,166$1,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.93	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under	38c	1,500$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	39c	1,217$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.17	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Over	61c	800$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	63c	793.65$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	28c	714.29$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1901…21c8backed Under	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	72cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	38c	647$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.14	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Under	41c	600$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under	39c	512.82$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.82	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	38c	500$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	218	39.4%86 W · 132 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under	38c	500$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	62c	465.71$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.05	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	21c	452$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.92	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	37c	443.99$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.71	215	48.8%105 W · 110 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfc…0fc2backed Under	42c	365.12$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.77	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	43c	365.01$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.48	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Over	62c	324.95$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	124	41.1%51 W · 73 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over	50c	318$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	60c	315.88$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.53	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	39c	300$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	179	55.3%99 W · 80 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over	63c	238.1$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over	63c	196.83$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under	42c	191.53$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.08	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ce…07adbacked Under	40c	190$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under	74c	174.28$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.31	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	58c	170.68$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.99	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf647…c13ebacked Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	64cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1eb…b730backed Under	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over	61c	126.23$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	134	39.6%53 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d3…4255backed Over	62c	112.74$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.9	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over	19c	104.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	136	56.6%77 W · 59 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under	78c	79.78$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.68	259	49.4%128 W · 131 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over	25c	71.38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.96	220	40.5%89 W · 131 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbee4…152cbacked Over	45c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over	61c	65.59$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.01	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-4.2wins	-0.30per pick	52cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over	62c	64.52$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	83	62.7%52 W · 31 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over	63c	63.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4982…a445backed Over	58c	62.5$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.25	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under	40c	60$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Under	39c	51.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	120	60%72 W · 48 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over	63c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Over	62c	47.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.21	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over	50c	42.64$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.32	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Over	60c	41.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	60c	41.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ca3…ec90backed Over	63c	41.27$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	61c	40.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Under	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7bc…1e51backed Under	39c	39.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x02b0…7930backed Over	61c	37.7$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	55cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1231…786cbacked Over	30c	35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d4c…57acbacked Over	62c	33.19$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd323…64acbacked Over	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6371…daf4backed Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over	63c	32.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fff…9d61backed Over	63c	31.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	67c	29.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.72	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	61c	27.08$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	158	66.5%105 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc3…f826backed Under	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60c…3bf9backed Over	60c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7f…91ebbacked Under	68c	24.53$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.88	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over	62c	24.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	127	48.8%62 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x855b…8dd0backed Over	61c	22.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea1d…ca80backed Over	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	73cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3179…3d2abacked Over	61c	18.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Over	60c	17.45$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over	59c	17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	410	40.5%166 W · 244 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5this page
Brighton vs. West Ham: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5Over won
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5Under won
Spread: Brighton (-1.5)West Ham won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event