Premier League · resolved market
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd19cbd0e4dc251f8da38200a7f9e0732f6b44d9e6d63862391d5f8f86b64f77b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 29,617$15,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,033.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 45c | 12,999$5,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174.66 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ec…7f1cbacked Over | 28c | 9,036$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +177.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 6,198$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 40c | 5,999$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.16 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 5,430$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.32 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 64c | 3,900$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.95 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 70c | 3,774$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.99 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 52c | 1,450$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.19 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under | 45c | 1,362$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.76 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 55c | 1,004$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.64 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 19c | 871.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.62 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 38c | 764.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.93 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Under | 61c | 750$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 713.91$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 31c | 447$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.43 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 24c | 417.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…f67ebacked Under | 56c | 375$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 19c | 205$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 197.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 37c | 187.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 58c | 184.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 20c | 142.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Under | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 55c | 109.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 98.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 26c | 94.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Under | 54c | 92.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 62c | 75.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…f53dbacked Under | 53c | 73.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…c4fabacked Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 29c | 68.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 53c | 66.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 17c | 64.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 29c | 55.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 80c | 48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…0c5cbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec67…c2a6backed Over | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 55c | 21.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5this page
- Brighton vs. West Ham: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton (-1.5)West Ham won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.