Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brighton (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbda41d93bd33a29d8b6ed0549e6c28f32c4bb60c0f48ab9b7314a69b59c8bfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Hamof Brighton, West Ham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Brighton | 25c | 6,911$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.19 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Ham | 72c | 6,531$4,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.93 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Brighton | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed West Ham | 71c | 3,706$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.86 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked West Ham | 65c | 3,081$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Brighton | 38c | 1,422$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed West Ham | 62c | 608.07$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.34 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed West Ham | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed West Ham | 75c | 469.9$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Brighton | 24c | 417.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Brighton | 40c | 378.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Brighton | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Brighton | 38c | 221.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed West Ham | 64c | 207.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed West Ham | 62c | 197.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Brighton | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…79a8backed Brighton | 32c | 142.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Brighton | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Brighton | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed West Ham | 69c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked West Ham | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed West Ham | 65c | 55.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Brighton | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…032cbacked Brighton | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Brighton | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Brighton | 38c | 42.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed West Ham | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Brighton | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Brighton | 37c | 32.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed West Ham | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…b369backed West Ham | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed West Ham | 73c | 22.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb6…c6d0backed West Ham | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brighton (-1.5)this page
- Brighton vs. West Ham: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.