TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over48c16,158$7,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,750.512934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Over45c13,791$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2003650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c7,491$4,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,301.125,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c6,160$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.582,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c3,412$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.651,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over41c2,178$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.9324323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c1,745$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.881,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under57c1,232$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.872,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under54c1,200$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4812552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under53c1,057$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.7111764.1%75 W · 42 L+11.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under55c809.99$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36518353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c719.36$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.591,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under58c690$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29024654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27012050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c588$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.7716454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c574.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.881,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under52c518.74$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.747155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24012250%61 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.493446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under54c400$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18615349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1883339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under56c399$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5618353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.513154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under52c302.87$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.381758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13517247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Under54c294.28$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.371643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c289.1$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.011,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26c…b7cabacked Under6c245.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.811030%3 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+244.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over45c241.73$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.786955.1%38 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1334…4ce4backed Under44c213.64$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c213$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.931,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under55c184$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.817757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8293…aaeebacked Over44c152.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c150.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0140156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.521152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.514453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Over58c145.04$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Over58c130$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4822642.5%96 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5415050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5414452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under66c116.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.02887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under53c112.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0615455.8%86 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under52c107.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7910752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c101.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9334050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4516152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…98e4backed Under52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under54c93.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.017574.7%56 W · 19 L+13.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under52c88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9711557.4%66 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518838.8%73 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under52c81.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.949458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3612652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.216154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.518256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.514953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under54c66.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.43164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under55c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.258250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d74…0324backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.916255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.917953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1e…5e1fbacked Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011543.5%50 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc407…0875backed Under56c53.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.34977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+84.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.25050%25 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1812951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3da3backed Under52c34.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.62683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+75.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over46c31.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.442351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over56c30.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.091,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under52c29.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.337263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Over59c28.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under52c21.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5124656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Under54c21.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.087356.2%41 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Under54c20.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Under49c20.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under61c18.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1347860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under69c15.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7330464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.